a worked example

Before a claim can be graded, it has to be gradeable.

Below are six claims of the kind a firm might actually publish. Each one is run through the same assessment RexUnda uses on real claims. Four of them do not pass — and what the machine says about why is the part worth reading.

Synthetic example These claims were written for this page. No firm submitted them, nothing here is stored, and nothing here is graded.

“NVDA rises over the next trading day.”

The simplest shape the policy can grade: one instrument, one direction, one window it has measured.

resolvable

This claim is resolvable: it commits to enough, and RexUnda has measured this kind of claim before. It is not yet graded — resolvable is not correct.

the claim, as the machine reads it
{ "subject": { "ticker": "NVDA", "instrument_type": "equity" }, "assertion": { "operator": "move_up" }, "window": { "start_policy": "seal_time_next_tradeable", "duration_value": 24, "duration_unit": "hours" }, "resolution_rule": { "metric": "total_return" } }
what this does not do

Gradeable is not the same as right.

A claim passing this assessment means only that it commits to enough for an outcome to be checked later. It is not a view on whether the claim will hold, and nothing on this page grades anything.

The refusals are not failures either. A claim the machine declines to grade is a claim it has no measured basis for — saying so is the honest answer, and it is why the boundary is drawn where it is rather than wherever would be convenient.